More than 30 years studying Argentine society

Political, social and electoral analysis.

Poliarquía Consultores is Argentina's leading firm in interpreting the country's political, social and electoral landscape. We help companies, investors, governments and institutions understand Argentina and anticipate what lies ahead, with analysis grounded in our own rigorous research.

What we do Contact

+30Years studying Argentine public opinion.

+800Companies, institutions and governments that have worked with us.

+500Research projects.

+1MPeople surveyed.

+100Electoral campaigns for executive and legislative office.

+4,000Interviews and articles published in the media.

10Indicators developed by the firm, tracking public mood, politics and consumption.

100%Winner and runner-up correctly called in every election, over ten years of published electoral projections.

About us

The analysis decision-makers rely on to understand Argentina.

Poliarquía Consultores is Argentina's leading firm in political, social and electoral analysis, and one of the country's most established public opinion research firms. Companies, investment banks, international funds, governments and political leaders turn to us to understand the Argentine landscape and anticipate where it is heading.

Our work spans political and electoral analysis, strategic advice for companies and investors, market and image research, studies for the energy and mining sectors, and consulting for governments and campaigns.

Our clients come from the sectors that drive the economy: banking and finance, energy, mining, agribusiness, consumer goods, manufacturing, healthcare, insurance, telecommunications and media, as well as international organizations and universities.

We draw on four decades of systematic research, begun at Catterberg y Asociados, and on proprietary indicators that have become benchmarks, such as the Government Confidence Index, the Consumer Confidence Index and the Citizen Optimism Index. Our directors have access to the circles where decisions are made and are regularly consulted by the most influential media in Argentina and abroad.

Team

Who leads the firm.

Alejandro Catterberg

Director

Co-founder. Political analyst and public opinion specialist with more than three decades of experience studying social, political and electoral trends.

Full biography

Catterberg holds a Master's degree in Quantitative Methods in the Social Sciences from Columbia University (New York), and a degree in Economics and a postgraduate degree in Finance from Universidad Torcuato Di Tella.

Combining data analysis with a deep understanding of the political and social context, Catterberg developed widely followed social indicators such as the Government Confidence Index, the Citizen Optimism Index and the Consumer Confidence Index, and has led more than 400 projects in public policy evaluation, electoral campaigns, and social and market research.

Catterberg advises leading political figures, social leaders and business executives in Argentina, and works with investment banks, funds and other international financial institutions active in the Argentine market. Catterberg's analysis is frequently cited by major media outlets.

Eduardo Fidanza

Director

Co-founder. Political consultant and public opinion analyst, trained in political sociology and social theory. Full member of Argentina's National Academy of Journalism.

Full biography

Fidanza holds a degree in Sociology from the Universidad de Buenos Aires and completed postgraduate studies in Spain. A founding member of the Sociedad Argentina de Investigación de Mercado y Opinión Pública, Fidanza also belongs to the Buenos Aires chapter of the World Association for Public Opinion Research (WAPOR).

Fidanza was Professor of Sociological Theory at the School of Social Sciences of the Universidad de Buenos Aires, and created a chair there devoted to the thought of Max Weber.

For seven years Fidanza wrote a weekly column for LA NACION, and is now a columnist for Perfil. Other columns have appeared in Clarín, La Gaceta de Tucumán, Río Negro and El Estadista, along with research in academic journals. Co-editor of the book Argentina, una sociedad anómica.

Ernesto Cussianovich

Director of Energy and Mining

Historian (Universidad de Buenos Aires) with a master's degree from the London School of Economics. Lecturer at Universidad Torcuato Di Tella and Universidad de Palermo.

Full biography

Cussianovich holds a degree in History from the Universidad de Buenos Aires, a Diploma in Organizational Management from Universidad San Pablo-CEU (Madrid) and a Master's degree in Economic History and Development Models from the London School of Economics.

At Poliarquía Consultores, Cussianovich leads the Energy, Mining, Natural Resources and Environment practice, working with public agencies, companies, civil society organizations and international cooperation agencies.

Previously Director of Operations at the British Council Argentina, Cussianovich developed education, governance and sustainable development projects for Argentina and Latin America, and has served as a consultant to UNDP, the IDB and ECLAC. Fellowships include the Fundación Carolina, Chevening, the Fondation Maison des Sciences de l’Homme and CONICET.

What we do

Three ways to work with us.

From ongoing advice to a one-off study, always with the direct involvement of our directors.

Ongoing political monitoring

Continuous advice on the country's political, social and electoral situation, to make better-informed decisions and anticipate scenarios.

Regular meetings with the directors
Monthly reports and a weekly briefing
A direct line for questions

Presentations and talks

Talks by our directors on the political landscape and its implications, drawing on our public opinion indicators. In English or Spanish.

Boards and management teams
Events, panels and conferences
Investor visits

Custom research

Quantitative and qualitative studies, among the general public or opinion leaders, designed to answer a specific question, from sample design to the presentation of results.

Public opinion, image and reputation
Studies of leaders and opinion-makers
Customer and user satisfaction
Diagnostics for public policy

Areas of expertise

Companies and investors

Insight into the political, regulatory and social context behind business and investment decisions, for local companies and for international banks and funds alike. We support clients abroad with regular calls, reports and presentations in the United States, Europe and Latin America, and we conduct comparative and political risk studies across the region.

Energy and mining

A dedicated division, active since 2013, focused on oil and gas, mining, natural resources and the environment: public perception of projects, community relations and the sector's reputation.

Government and public policy

Diagnostics, performance evaluation and baseline studies for national, provincial and municipal governments, and advice on electoral campaigns.

Image, brand and services

Corporate image, brand equity and satisfaction studies for service companies, media and institutions.

Client reports

The State of Public Opinion

Monthly

A summary of our national survey: public mood, assessment of the government, the economy, the image of political leaders and the electoral outlook.

The Week in Review

Weekly

The partners' reflections on the most relevant political events, focused on interpretation rather than mere description.

Political Situation and Economic Outlook

Monthly

Presidential approval, the image of political leaders, perceptions of the economy, inflation expectations and household conditions.

Survey of Leaders and Opinion-Makers

Annual

Since 2008, the views of political leaders, business executives, journalists and academics on the country's direction.

These reports are available in English, are for restricted circulation and are part of our ongoing monitoring service.

Indicators

The numbers that track the country's pulse.

We created, and measure every month, several of Argentina's benchmark public opinion indicators. Some have been tracked without interruption since 1998.

ICG

Government Confidence Index

Assesses the national administration on five dimensions: overall evaluation, concern for the general interest, efficiency, honesty and capability.

Monthly · With Universidad Torcuato Di Tella

ICC

Consumer Confidence Index

Measures perceptions of personal and national economic conditions, and willingness to buy durable goods.

Monthly · With Universidad Torcuato Di Tella

Inflation Expectations

Tracks how much the public expects prices to rise over the next twelve months.

Monthly · With Universidad Torcuato Di Tella

IVI

Victimization Index

Measures the share of households that were victims of a crime over the past year.

With Universidad Torcuato Di Tella

IOC

Citizen Optimism Index

Measures public mood based on perceptions of the country's current situation, assessment of the recent past and expectations for the future.

Monthly · Proprietary indicator

ICF

Household Consumption Index

Tracks the evolution of household consumption in Argentina and how it changes over time.

Proprietary indicator

BOPA

Argentine Public Opinion Barometer

Summarizes the climate of opinion on a single scale and, in election years, feeds a statistical model for estimating results.

Proprietary indicator

How we research

Our own operation, end to end.

We design the samples, conduct the fieldwork and process the data with the firm's own teams. The quality of the data is decided at every one of those stages.

In-house call center

Telephone surveys of landlines and mobile phones, with every interview recorded and supervised in real time.

Probability-based online panel

Made up of people contacted in previous household and telephone studies, not self-selected online.

Face-to-face fieldwork nationwide

Large-scale household surveys and community fieldwork, with interviewers trained for each study.

Qualitative research

Focus groups and in-depth interviews with probability-based recruitment, and on-the-ground observation, to understand what a survey alone cannot show.

Track record

Ten years of electoral projections with LA NACION.

Between 2005 and 2015, Poliarquía Consultores and the newspaper LA NACION maintained a joint working agreement to measure and forecast every election. Over that decade we covered 21 elections and produced 118 projections. This review, prepared at the close of that cycle, compares each forecast with the final result. Since then, Poliarquía Consultores has not published electoral forecasts in the media.

100%Winner correctly called in every election

100%Runner-up correctly called

1.5%Average margin of error against final results

1 / 32

The slides are shown in Spanish, as originally published.

Who we work with

Long-term relationships with companies, investors and institutions.

Many of our clients have been with us for more than fifteen years.

100+

Banks and financial institutions

Macro · Galicia · Latin Securities · Citi Argentina · HSBC · Santander · BNP Paribas · Supervielle · BTG Pactual · ICBC · Puente · BIND · Balanz · Naranja X · Capital Markets Argentina · Facimex · PPI · Comafi · Ciudad · Provincia · MAE · Adcap · Mariva · ABA · MBA Lazard · Visa · Payway · Fundamenta Capital · TPCG · Galileo · BBVA · Hipotecario · Patagonia · Itaú · Nación · Buenos Aires Stock Exchange · American Express

100+

Investment banks and international funds

Citi · J.P. Morgan · PointState Capital · Bank of America · Barclays · Emso · Gemcorp · Morgan Stanley · Mangart Capital · Jefferies · Goldman Sachs · Moneda Asset Management · Macrosynergy · Perry Creek Capital · Oaktree · UBS · Fourth Sail Capital · Nomura · Credit Suisse · Discovery Capital · Pharo · Silver Point · Serengeti · LarrainVial · L Catterton · TT International · HSBC · Deutsche Bank · Itaú BBA · Standard Chartered · Schroders · Lazard

60+

Energy, oil and gas

Pampa Energía · PAE · ExxonMobil · YPF · Edenor · Raízen · Ecogas · Naturgy · Camuzzi · Pluspetrol · Metrogas · Edelap · Edesur · Petrobras · Shell · Tecpetrol · Wintershall Dea · Chevron · Equinor · General Electric · TGN

25+

Mining

Cámara Argentina de Empresarios Mineros · Barrick · Glencore · Yamana Gold · Rio Tinto · Albemarle · Patagonia Gold · Minera Alumbrera · Minera Argenta · Galaxy Lithium · Filo del Sol · Olaroz Lithium · YMAD

55+

Agribusiness

Cargill · Asociación de Cooperativas Argentinas · Bunge · Syngenta · Monsanto · Dow AgroSciences · Nidera · Aceitera General Deheza · Louis Dreyfus · Los Grobo · Sociedad Rural Argentina · AACREA · Aapresid · Coninagro · Confederaciones Rurales Argentinas · Federación Agraria · CIARA

35+

Consumer goods and retail

Arcor · Coca-Cola · Unilever · Cervecería Quilmes · Molinos Río de la Plata · Mondelez · Kimberly-Clark · SanCor · PepsiCo · Natura · Pernod Ricard · SC Johnson · Walmart · Cencosud · Nike

75+

Industry, infrastructure and transportation

General Motors · Toyota · Volkswagen · Honda · BMW · Bridgestone · Siemens · Ternium · Siderca · Acindar · Dow · BASF · 3M · Bosch · Saint-Gobain · Alpargatas · ADEFA · ACARA · Unión Industrial Argentina · Autopistas Urbanas · Subterráneos de Buenos Aires · Metrovías · Loma Negra · IRSA · Raghsa · TGLT · Andrade Gutierrez · Roggio · Cartellone · Hochtief · LAN Argentina

40+

Healthcare and pharmaceuticals

OSDE · Medifé · Laboratorios Bagó · Roche · Bayer · Novartis · Pfizer · Sanofi · Johnson & Johnson · Janssen · Boehringer Ingelheim · Novo Nordisk · Eli Lilly · Merck · Farmacity · CAEME · FLENI

20+

Insurance

Sancor Seguros · MetLife · Zurich · La Caja · La Segunda · Allianz · Provincia Seguros · San Cristóbal · Marsh · Aon · Coface · Seguros Bolívar

60+

Media, communications and telecommunications

LA NACION · Grupo Clarín · Artear · Telefe · América TV · Reuters · La Gaceta · Río Negro · El Cronista · Los Andes · Torneos · J. Walter Thompson · Llorente & Cuenca · Telecom · Telefónica · Movistar · IBM · Microsoft · Cablevisión · DirecTV · Motorola · Xerox

25+

Government and public sector

Government of the City of Buenos Aires · Office of the Chief of Cabinet of Ministers · Government of the Province of Buenos Aires · Government of the Province of Corrientes · Federal Investment Council (CFI) · ANSES · AFIP · Municipalities of La Plata, Santa Fe, Pergamino, Resistencia, Tres de Febrero and Esteban Echeverría

10+

International organizations

World Bank · Inter-American Development Bank · International Monetary Fund · CAF · UNICEF · UNESCO · UNDP · International Finance Corporation · International IDEA · IATA

60+

Universities, business associations and civil society

Universidad Torcuato Di Tella · FIEL · Fundación Mediterránea · Universidad Nacional de San Martín · Universidad Católica Argentina · UADE · Universidad Nacional de La Plata · Johns Hopkins SAIS · Northwestern University · McGill–HEC Montréal · Fundación ISALUD · Asociación Empresaria Argentina · IDEA · AmCham · Cámara Argentina de Comercio y Servicios · CAME · IAEF · UOCRA · AMIA · Fundación Vida Silvestre · The Nature Conservancy · Fundación OSDE · Boca Juniors

45+

Consulting and professional services

McKinsey · Boston Consulting Group · Deloitte · PwC · Pistrelli, Henry Martin y Asociados · KPMG · Accenture · Mercer · Marval O’Farrell · Bomchil · Vistage · GLG

Contact

How can we help?

Choose a topic and we will pass your message on to the right person.

info@poliarquia.com

+54 11 5219-2500
Buenos Aires, Argentina

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